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Regional NSW Today

Published 30th July, 2018

Regional NSW is Australia’s largest and most diverse regional economy. Rich with natural resources, it is home to a third of the state’s population, and produces one-fifth of NSW’s gross state product. Regional NSW has thriving agricultural, energy and resources industries and strong manufacturing, tourism and service sectors.

Here ‘regional NSW’ refers to all of the state except the metropolitan areas of Greater Sydney, Newcastle and Wollongong.

A state of many smaller economies

Regional NSW can be divided into five types of regional economy, based on their underlying geography, population and economic features. These are:

  • Metro Satellite
  • Growth Centre
  • Coastal
  • Inland
  • Remote.

Look more closely, and you will see NSW is actually made up of many smaller local economies across these five categories.1 The NSW Government refers to these smaller economies as functional economic regions (FERs), each mapping out the regional communities that have strong economic links, mainly where people live and work.2

In total, regional NSW can be categorised into 37 FERs, as outlined in the map below. Some of these cross state boundaries into Queensland, Victoria and the Australian Capital Territory (ACT). The FERs are colour coded, to indicate the five types of regional economy.

The functional economic regions of regional NSW

Legend

FER Category

Source: NSW Department of Premier and Cabinet. Note: following the vision being finalised, Shellharbour has been designated as an additional FER.

Metro Satellites

Metro Satellites are relatively high-density communities on the outskirts of major centres of economic activity such as Sydney, Canberra, Newcastle, Wollongong and the Gold Coast. Metro Satellite FERs include towns such as Gosford, Queanbeyan, Maitland, Kiama, Lithgow and Tweed Heads. Metro Satellites are home to 53 per cent of regional NSW’s population and produce the highest economic output of the five broad categories.

Their higher populations reflect strong economic growth, which is based on traded clusters3concentrations of industries such as mining, tourism, food manufacturing and residential care, and bolstered by their proximity to growing major cities.

Map marker icon representing FERS  Functional Economic Regions

  • Capital, Central Coast and Lake Macquarie, Hunter, Kiama, Lithgow, Tweed and Wingecarribee

Group of people icon representing population  Population

  • 53.0 per cent of the population of regional NSW
  • Experiencing above-average population growth (1.7 per cent per annum, compound annual growth rate*, 2006–2016)

* Compound annual growth rate is the average growth rate each year over the long term

Briefcase icon representing jobs  Jobs

  • Gross value added** of $105 billion, with a growth rate of 2.1 per cent annually in the past five years (compound annual growth rate, 2011–2016)
  • Health and mining are key traded clusters, with 26,100 employees and 23,100 employees respectively
  • Unemployment rate of 6.4 per cent (2016), having grown by 2.0 per cent annually in the past five years (compound annual growth rate, 2011–2016)***

** Gross value added is the value of goods and services collectively produced in these Functional Economic Regions
*** Jobs numbers from PwC's Geospatial Economic Model based on ABS 2016 Census data.

Growth Centres

These areas are hubs of growth in regional NSW.4 

Populations are rapidly increasing as people migrate to regional cities such as Bathurst, Orange, Tamworth, Dubbo, Lismore, Wagga Wagga and Coffs Harbour, attracted by their lifestyles and employment industries. The hubs in Growth Centres typically provide sophisticated health, education and cultural services to surrounding Inland areas.

Map marker icon representing FERS  Functional Economic Regions

  • Abercrombie, Albury-Wodonga, Orange, Blaney and Cabonne, Central Orana, Coffs Coast, Eastern Riverina, Hastings-Macleay, Lower North West, Mid-Western, Northern Rivers, Shoalhaven, Southern Tablelands

Group of people icon representing population  Population

  • Growth Centres contain key regional centres and a further 25.9 per cent of the population of regional NSW
  • They are experiencing population growth of 1.0 per cent per annum on average (compound annual growth rate, 2006–2016)

Briefcase icon representing jobs  Jobs

  • $44 billion in gross value added in 2016, driven by 1.3 per cent growth over the five years prior (compound annual growth rate, 2011–2016)
  • Agribusiness is the largest traded cluster in the Growth Centres, with 26,500 employees
  • The unemployment rate of the Growth Centres has increased slightly over the years, to 6.6 per cent in 2016, with a growth rate of 0.5 per cent annually (compound annual growth rate, 2011–2016)

Coastal

Coastal areas contain a smaller proportion of the overall population of regional NSW (7 per cent) but are growing. This growth is mainly driven by those aged 65 and over. Coastal areas have remained relatively stable in terms of employment, with pockets of employment clusters (such as health services, agribusiness and tourism) growing moderately.

Map marker icon representing FERS  Functional Economic Regions (FERs)

  • Clarence Valley, Far South Coast, Mid-Coast, Nambucca

Group of people icon representing population  Population

  • Key Coastal areas contain 7.1 per cent of the population of regional NSW
  • They are experiencing average population growth (0.7 per cent, compound annual growth rate, 2006-2016), mainly driven by those aged 65+

Briefcase icon representing jobs  Jobs

  • The Coastal areas generate a total gross value added of $7.6 billion. In the past five years, the areas grew by 1.0 per cent (compound annual growth rate, 2011-2016)
  • Key industries include health (3400 employees) and agribusiness (2600 employees)
  • A high unemployment rate of 8.5 per cent in 2016, with minor decreases in unemployment over the past five years (-0.02 per cent annually, compound annual growth rate, 2011-2016)

Inland

Inland areas radiate further from the metropolitan areas, lying beyond the Coastal and Metro Satellite areas between and around Growth Centres, and are more rural in character. They have relatively small, stable populations.

Map marker icon representing FERS  Functional Economic Regions (FERs)

  • Cowra, Western Murray, Mid-Lachlan, Murray, Northern New England High Country, Snowy Monaro, Snowy Valleys, South Western Slopes, Southern New England High Country, Upper North West, Western Riverina

Group of people icon representing population  Population

  • The Inland regions contain 13.4 per cent of the population of regional NSW
  • They are experiencing stable population growth (0.3 per cent, compound annual growth rate, 2006–2016)

Briefcase icon representing jobs  Jobs

  • Economic decline of 1.2 per cent annually (gross value added, compound annual growth rate, 2011–2016). In 2016, the total gross value added of the area was $21.5 billion
  • Agribusiness is the largest industry in Inland regions, with 27,700 employees
  • There was an unemployment rate of change of 1.8 per cent in the last five years (CAGR, 2011–2016). Overall, the unemployment rate was 6.0 per cent in 2016

Remote

Remote areas continue to support a significant proportion of agricultural and mining activity in NSW, but are experiencing population decline.

Map marker icon representing FERS  Functional Economic Regions (FERs)

  • Castlereagh, Far West, Western Plains

Group of people icon representing population  Population

  • Remote areas of the state contain 1.5 per cent of the population of regional NSW
  • Their populations are shrinking (-0.8 per cent compound annual growth rate, 2006–2016)

Briefcase icon representing jobs  Jobs

  • Stable output, with 0.01 per cent growth per annum over the past five years (compound annual growth rate, 2011-2016). In 2016, the overall gross value added of the region was $2.7 billion
  • Agribusiness is the most significant industry in the Remote regions, with 3700 employees
  • The highest growth in unemployment (2.6 per cent compound annual growth rate, 2011–2016), and the second-highest unemployment rate (8.4 per cent in 2016)

The ‘engine’ industries driving our regions

Around the world, economies are narrowing and deepening, including in regional NSW. This means that a smaller number of key sectors are employing a larger share of the workforce.5

Key regional industries that are surviving or thriving are linked to economic endowments, or an area’s inherent or created strengths. For example, areas rich in minerals can sustain strong performance in mining, whereas an area not located between producers and their markets or distributors will likely yield low or unsustainable growth in transport logistics. These sectors and others that service markets beyond their local region are considered ‘traded clusters’.

Regions may also have economic endowments in service sectors such as health or residential care. For example, health services are available throughout NSW. However, a region with a health endowment may have a health-service specialisation that will draw people to relocate there – either as employees or patients.

Engine industries are those that employ a higher proportion of people in that region compared to other regions. They usually reflect the area’s competitive advantages. In any region, most of the workforce is employed in population-serving industries. However, engine industries are often a key reason why a town or region exists.

Icon representing agribusiness and forestry Agribusiness and forestry

Includes livestock and grain, horticulture, dairy, poultry, food and beverage manufacturing and forestry

NSW is a significant producer of agricultural commodities, using 75 per cent of NSW land and employing more than 60,000 people (6.7 per cent of all jobs in regional NSW). Key products include beef, poultry, wheat, rice, milk, cotton, wool and forestry products, as well as value-added food and beverages.

Icon representing resources and mining Resources and mining

Includes metal ore and coal mining

For more than a century, regional NSW has been a significant source of resources. Our reserves of coal, gold, copper, zinc, lead, silver, nickel and cobalt are in high demand, while lithium and rare earth deposits may serve future industries. Regions with large-scale mining have had the highest jobs growth since 20056, with more than 23,000 jobs in mining in NSW today.

Icon representing tourism Tourism

Includes accommodation, and food and beverage services

Regional NSW’s hospitality and diverse natural beauty – including outback, country, alpine, coastal, island and subtropical landscapes – draw more visitors from Australia and overseas every year. Each year from 2012 to 2017, overnight visitor numbers to regional NSW grew by 5 per cent. Altogether, overnight visitors to regional NSW spent more than $12.4 billion in the year to December 2017.7 More than 81,000 regional jobs – 9 per cent – support tourism.

Icon representing tertiary education Tertiary education

Includes tertiary education facilities and vocational training services

The $1.9 billion education sector in regional NSW serves a growing domestic and international market for high-quality education. Leading research centres in agricultural technology have emerged in Orange, Armidale and Wagga Wagga, while renewable energy research centres have developed in the South East and Tablelands region. More than 82,000 regional jobs – 9 per cent – are in tertiary education and skills.

Icon representing health and residential care Health and residential care

Includes health and social care, particularly in residential care

Increasing life expectancy and population growth are driving demand for health and aged care facilities in regional NSW, particularly along the mid and north coast. There are almost 139,000 jobs – or 14.9 per cent of regional jobs – in this sector. Regional providers have a key cost advantage. In 2016, they had the lowest expenses per day on average.8

Icon representing freight and logistics Freight and logistics

Includes freight, logistics and distribution services

Freight, logistics and distribution services are the backbone of regional NSW, providing more than 32,000 regional jobs in towns like Albury-Wodonga, Dubbo, Moree, Tamworth and Wagga Wagga.9 These towns – given they are near major roads and/or freight rail lines to large freight terminals – play a crucial role in connecting businesses to markets throughout Australia and across the world.

Icon representing defence Defence

Includes defence, aerospace and advanced materials

NSW is home to the most defence bases and facilities in Australia10, with several in regional areas such as Wagga Wagga, Singleton, Bungendore and Nowra, and defence industry clusters in the Shoalhaven and the Hunter. Defence industry capabilities in NSW include systems integration, cybersecurity and advanced materials. Defence and related industries employ 40,000 people across regional NSW.

People moving to regional NSW

People are moving to regional NSW every year, with it attracting 12,000 more residents overall in the 2015–16 financial year. Close to 90,000 people moved into regional NSW, with many of these new residents coming from Greater Sydney. This continues a long-term trend of migration out of Sydney towards growing regional centres in NSW. Large proportions of new residents are also moving from Queensland and Victoria. While some people are also moving away from the regions, net migration to regional NSW is still positive.

Although overseas migration typically contributes less to growth in regional NSW than in Sydney, some international migrants and refugees are settling in regional areas.

Regional internal migration estimates by region of arrival and departure map

Regional internal migration estimates by region of arrival and departure, 2015–16 11

References

1. Centre for Economic and Regional Development (2017), Regional Economic Growth Enablers Report

2. Also by community input and economic measures

3. Groups of related industries that serve markets beyond the region in which they are located, i.e. sell to other regions and nations

4. Note: Many of these are considered regional centres or regional cities in Transport for NSW’s Future Transport Strategy 2056, and NSW Department of Planning and Environment’s 2016 regional plans

5. Centre for Economic and Regional Development (2017), Regional Economic Growth Enablers Report

6. NSW Regional Investment Prospectus

7. Destination NSW tourism statistics

8. NSW Regional Investment Prospectus

9. Centre for Economic and Regional Development (2017), Regional Economic Growth Enablers Report

10. NSW Regional Investment Prospectus

11. ABS regional internal migration estimates by region of arrival and departure (SA4 and above) 2015-16. Note, the referenced data includes Wollongong and Newcastle in regional NSW, while this vision document excludes them

Published 30th July, 2018
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